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Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

Economic Review June 2023

Economic Review June 2023

SFFS_Economic_Review_June_23 Download your copy here 

Inflation persistence forces rates higher

 

The Bank of England (BoE) has sanctioned another hike in its benchmark interest rate after citing ‘significant upside news’ which suggests inflation is likely to take longer to fall back to the Bank’s target level.

 

Following its latest meeting, which concluded on 21 June, the BoE’s nine-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a 7-2 majority to raise Bank Rate by half a percentage point. This was the 13th successive increase taking rates to 5.0%, their highest level for 15 years.

 

The minutes to the meeting said there had been ‘significant upside news in recent data that indicates more persistence in the inflation process.’ They also stressed that the MPC will continue to ‘monitor closely indications of persistent inflationary pressures’ and ‘if there were to be evidence of more persistent pressures, then further tightening in monetary policy would be required.’

 

Commenting on the day the decision was announced, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said, “The economy is doing better than expected but inflation is still too high and we’ve got to deal with it. If we don’t raise rates now, it could be worse later.

 

Data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) the day before the MPC’s announcement confirmed that the headline rate of inflation remains stubbornly high. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) 12-month rate – which compares prices in the current month with the same period a year earlier – stood at 8.7% in May, the same figure as the previous month and well above the 8.4% consensus prediction from a Reuters poll of economists.

 

The CPI inflation rate currently stands more than four times higher than the BoE’s 2% target and economists now typically expect to see another two quarter-point hikes over the coming months. The MPC’s next interest rate decision is due to be announced on 3 August.

 

Surprise rise in pay growth

 

 Although the latest official earnings statistics revealed that nominal wage levels are now rising at a record pace, the release also showed that pay growth is still failing to keep up with the continuing rapid rise in prices.

 

Figures published last month by ONS showed that average weekly earnings excluding bonuses, rose at an annual rate of 7.2% in the three months to April. This was up from 6.8% recorded in the previous three-month period and also higher than a 6.9% rise predicted in a Reuters poll of economists.

 

ONS Director of Economic Statistics Darren Morgan noted that, in cash terms, basic pay is now growing at the fastest rate since current records began over 20 years ago, excluding the period when figures “were distorted by the pandemic”. Mr Morgan added, “However, even so, wage rises continue to lag behind inflation.”  Indeed, in real terms, regular pay actually fell by 1.3% on the year during the February-April period.

 

Changes to the minimum wage implemented at the start of April were a key contributor to the record jump in nominal pay growth. Nearly two million workers benefited from a 9.7% rise which took the National Living Wage up to £10.42 an hour for those aged 23 and over.

 

The BoE has been closely monitoring pay levels, and the Bank Governor said the data showed “we’ve got a very tight labour market in this country.” The BoE has warned that large pay rises are likely to prolong the UK’s period of high inflation.

 

Recently published survey data also suggests pay settlements remain at a historically high level. Figures from XpertHR showed that the median basic pay settlement in the three months to the end of May held at the same record high that had been reported during the previous three-month period.

 

Markets (Data compiled by TOMD)

 

On the last trading day of June, global markets closed in largely positive territory, with new data confirming the UK avoided a winter recession, while a drop in eurozone inflation supported investor sentiment.

 

Across the pond, the Dow Jones index closed the month up 4.56% on 34,407.60, while the tech-focused NASDAQ closed the month up 6.59% on 13,787.92, supported by the advancement of Apple through the $3trn market cap threshold.

 

On the continent, the Euro Stoxx 50 closed June up 4.29% on 4,399.09. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 closed the month up 7.45%, on 33,189.04. With the lower value of the yen and positive changes in the domestic business environment, investors have taken a renewed interest in the world’s third largest economy.

 

In the UK, the FTSE 100 ended Q2 on 7,531.53 a gain of 1.15%. The domestically focused FTSE 250 closed the month on 18,416.76, a loss of 1.64% and the FTSE AIM closed June on 753.51 a monthly loss of 3.74%.

 

On the foreign exchanges, the euro closed the month at €1.16 against sterling. The US dollar closed at $1.26 against sterling and at $1.09 against the euro.

 

Gold closed the month trading at $1,912.25 a troy ounce, a monthly loss of 2.65%. Gold has been under pressure from expectations of further interest rate hikes stateside. Brent crude closed the quarter trading at around $75 a barrel, a monthly gain of 2.85%. Geopolitical pressures loom over oil supply and pricing heading into the second half of 2023.

 

 Index                                                  Value (30/06/23)                           Movement since 31/05/23

 

FTSE 100                                            7,531.53                                                           +1.15%                

FTSE 250                                           18,416.76                                                         -1.64%                               

FTSE AIM                                          753.51                                                               -3.74%

Euro Stoxx 50                                  4,399.09                                                           +4.29%                               

NASDAQ Composite                      13,787.92                                                         +6.59%                               

Dow Jones                                        34,407.60                                                         +4.56% 

Nikkei 225                                        33,189.04                                                         +7.45%                

 

Retail sales rise unexpectedly

 

The latest official retail sales statistics have revealed another surprise monthly increase in sales volumes, although more recent survey data does suggest retailers continue to face a difficult trading environment.

 

According to ONS data, sales volumes grew by 0.3% in May, exceeding economists’ expectations of a small monthly decline. The figures were boosted by an extra bank holiday to mark the coronation of King Charles as well as the arrival of more summery weather during the second half of the month.

 

Commenting on the data, ONS Senior Statistician Heather Bovill said, “Retail sales grew a little in May, with online shops doing particularly well selling outdoor goods and summer clothes, as the sun began to shine. Garden centres and DIY stores also saw growth, as the good weather encouraged people to start home and garden improvements.”

 

Survey data released last month also suggests that UK consumers remain remarkably resilient, with sentiment hitting its highest level since January 2022 as households turned more optimistic about their finances and the economy. Evidence from the latest CBI Distributive Trades Survey, however, points to weaker sales in June, and the business group said conditions for retailers are likely to remain ‘challenging’ in the months ahead.

UK economy sees modest growth

 Growth statistics released last month by ONS showed the UK economy edged higher in April, although forward-looking indicators do suggest any momentum may have been lost in the last couple of months.

The latest gross domestic product figures revealed that the UK economy grew by 0.2% in April, following a fall of 0.3% in March. ONS said retailers and the film industry, along with strong trade in bars and pubs were the main drivers of growth, outweighing contractions in both the manufacturing and construction sectors.

 

Data from the latest S&P Global/CIPS UK Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) released towards the end of last month, however, suggests there are signs the economy may now be cooling as a result of tighter monetary policy. The preliminary composite headline figure fell to a three-month low of 52.8 in June, down from 54.0 in May.

 

Commenting on the findings from the June PMI survey, S&P Global Market Intelligence’s Chief Business Economist Chris Williamson said, “The pace of expansion slowed amid signs of a growing toll from the rising cost of living and higher interest rates. Most notably, consumer spending on services, a core growth driver earlier in the year, is now showing signs of faltering.”

 

It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this document is based on our current understanding and can be subject to change without notice and the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without prior permission.

 

All details are correct at the time of writing (03 July 2023).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

Signs of optimism in global economy

Signs of optimism in global economy

Download your copy here

Although the global economy continues to face significant headwinds, statistics released during the first few months of this year have revealed unexpected signs of resilience. This has led economists to begin upgrading growth forecasts, while the World Economic Forum’s latest Chief Economists Outlook reported signs of ‘nascent optimism.’

 

Growth stronger than expected

Uncertainty undoubtedly continues to be a key feature of the world economy with pressure being exerted from a number of issues. First quarter data, though, has shown that the global economy performed better than most economists had previously feared, with growth recorded across all regions amid signs of the green shoots of recovery.

 

Inflationary pressures set to fall

Persistent inflationary pressures and tighter financial conditions, however, do remain key challenges for policymakers around the globe. Inflation has so far stayed stubbornly high and, while economists do expect it to continue falling over the rest of the year, this decline is predicted to be at a slower pace than previously thought.

 

Resilient economic growth

A key theme at the World Economic Forum’s recent Growth Summit was ‘enabling resilient economic growth’ with discussions focusing on inclusive and sustainable growth, and equitable globalisation. The organisation’s updated forecast showed a notable strengthening in growth expectations, although it also highlighted sharp variations by region. The most buoyant activity is predicted to be in Asia, with China’s reopening expected to drive a significant rebound, while growth prospects are thought to be noticeably weaker in Europe.

 

Diversification is key

An improving outlook should clearly create opportunities for shrewd investors. However, the relatively uncertain backdrop, along with divergent regional dynamics, inevitably means diversification will remain a vital component in any investor’s armoury. Spreading money in a globally diversified portfolio across a range of sectors and different size businesses should, as ever, prove an effective way to mitigate risk in the quest to build wealth.

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

 Striking a balance

 

While recent financial challenges have taken their toll on everyone’s pockets, it comes as no surprise that parents are putting concerns about their children’s finances above their own, as highlighted in a recent survey of advisers1.

Over half (55%) of the advisers surveyed noted that adult children were taking priority in clients’ wealth planning at present, with many taking action to assist with their children’s financial struggles amid the cost-of-living crisis.

 

The main requests by parents wanting to lend a financial hand include releasing funds (25%) for their adult children, while over half (55%) of the advisers have clients choosing to access their pension savings in order to enhance their disposable income to support family members, with 18% of those clients taking an additional lump sum specifically to help their offspring. Reportedly 53% of advisers have clients keen to adjust their finances, with 40% requesting advice on ensuring investments stayed ahead of inflation.

 

Although people are understandably concerned about their children’s financial circumstances and are keen to help, it’s important to be mindful about striking the right balance and not to lose focus on your financial objectives for your own future. For help in striking that balance, get in touch.

 

1Royal London, 2023

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

IHT goes mainstream

 

Inheritance Tax (IHT) receipts have been consistently rising, with new data from HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) showing takings for the 2022-23 tax year totalled £7.1bn, up a massive £1bn from the previous tax year (£6.1bn 2021-22). According to HMRC, this huge uplift can be attributed in part to ‘a combination of the recent rises in asset values and the government’s decision to maintain the IHT nil rate band thresholds at their 2020 to 2021 levels up to and including 2025 to 2026.’

 

Reported estimates from the Spring Budget detail that over the next five years, IHT is expected to bring in £38bn for the Treasury, meaning annual receipts will exceed £8bn by 2027-28, with 6.7% of deaths expected to trigger an IHT charge. This compares with 3.76% of UK deaths in 2019-20.

 

Record receipts have prompted suggestions that the tax has now become mainstream. Previously dubbed a tax on the wealthy, this is certainly no longer the case, as frozen thresholds and elevated house prices impact.

 

The good news is that through expert planning you can legitimately mitigate this tax, so you can pass on assets to your family as you’d intended. There are various different strategies depending on your unique circumstances, including making gifts during your lifetime, considering placing assets into trust, making use of exemptions, and thinking about leaving something to charity, to name but a few.

 

Don’t go it alone

IHT is a complex tax, with reliefs and exemptions on gifts to consider and the interaction with other taxes. These days, with many more estates likely to be subject to IHT, taking expert advice could save your beneficiaries substantial amounts of tax. Get in touch.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) does not regulate Will writing, tax and trust advice and certain forms of estate planning.

 

 

In the news

 

HNWIs cutting pension contributions

Research has highlighted that in an effort to alleviate daily financial pressures, including rising mortgage rates, one third of high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) have reduced their pension contributions or intend to do so in the next six months2. Those with assets of £250,000 plus are more likely to have reduced their pension contributions in the last six months (14%), versus 9% across the UK population as a whole.

 

Those HNWIs who have already taken steps to reduce their pension payments have done so by an average of £1,246 a month, nearly £15,000 over the course of a year. Over eighty percent (84%) of HNWIs are already experiencing or expecting an increase in their mortgage rates to put a strain on their cashflow, prompting many to reduce their pension contributions.

 

Interestingly, the research has also shown that the majority of HNWIs are underestimating the requirements for a comfortable retirement, believing on average that a pension pot around £580,000 will do the job, but in reality a pot of nearly £700,000 plus the full State Pension will suffice, according to the research.

 

2Saltus, 2023

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

 

Achieving real financial empowerment

 

Traditionally, people might have assessed their financial health by simply checking the balance on their bank account or totalling their amassed level of wealth. In recent years, however, a different measure has emerged which seeks to balance financial stability with emotional wellbeing.

 

Financial empowerment

This new concept places greater emphasis on goals and developing a financial plan to achieve life’s aspirations; in other words, it’s about people gaining control over their finances rather than their finances controlling them. Achieving genuine financial empowerment does not therefore focus simply on someone’s level of wealth, but on handling that money so it has a truly positive impact on their wellbeing.

 

A state of mind

In many ways, financial empowerment is about understanding the emotional relationship with money by focusing on an individual’s mindset as well as their finances. Taking time to strategise, by aligning spending and savings commitments with long-term goals while being prepared for life’s unexpected financial challenges, can provide a logical, ordered approach that brings satisfaction and pride to our financial lives. In effect, it creates control that affords a sense of financial freedom and thereby puts us on track to a fulfilling, well-lived life and retirement.

Empowerment versus income

Analysis3, which compares people’s emotional experiences with their level of empowerment and earnings, offers further valuable insight. It found that financially empowered people had mostly positive experiences, even those in lower income brackets, while those who felt disempowered were generally less happy with their finances than their peers. This suggests that a sense of personal power rather than someone’s income level is the key to achieving emotional wellbeing in their financial lives.

 

It’s all in the planning

Financial empowerment effectively derives from equipping ourselves with the right tools. With the clear, transparent advice and professional support our firm provides, we can construct a well thought-out, long-term but flexible plan that will allow you to live the life you want and thereby achieve true financial empowerment.

 

3Morningstar, 2023

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

 

Pensions – what’s changing?

 

During the Spring Budget the Chancellor announced several changes to pensions including increasing the Annual Allowance and the Money Purchase Annual Allowance. The changes, the most significant since pensions freedoms in 2015, have largely been met with positivity, bringing greater flexibility and opportunity.

 

Some higher-paid workers faced additional tax bills as a result of building sizeable pension pots or significant final salary benefits. The overhaul makes it easier for people to accumulate a larger pension pot and not be penalised by taxes, also enabling them to build larger capital sums needed to

produce sufficient retirement income. Let’s take a look in closer detail at some of the main changes, many of which took effect from 6 April 2023:

 

  • The Lifetime Allowance (LTA) charge was removed, with the LTA (currently £1,073,100) itself expected to be formally abolished (likely to be April 2024), allowing people to save more into their pension over their lifetime without facing tax charges for exceeding it

 

  • The standard Annual Allowance (AA) increased from £40,000 to £60,000 (max 100% of earnings), allowing many individuals to pay more into their pension each tax year and receive tax relief on it. Individuals are still able to carry forward any unutilised allowance from the previous three tax years. Increasing the AA will particularly benefit workers approaching retirement who may have neglected pension saving in the past, who will be able to pay more into their pension each year and receive tax relief

 

  • The ‘adjusted income’ threshold for Annual Allowance tapering increased from £240,000 to £260,000 and the minimum tapered Annual Allowance increased from £4,000 to £10,000 (meaning that individuals with annual adjusted income of £360,000 or more will have an Annual Allowance of £10,000). The tapered Annual Allowance is the reduced pension Annual Allowance that is applied to those who now have an ‘adjusted income’ over £260,000, for every £2 earned above the £260,000 threshold the normal Annual Allowance is reduced by £1

 

  • The Money Purchase Annual Allowance (MPAA) increased from £4,000 per tax year to £10,000, to encourage those drawing a pension to continue working. This is the amount you can pay into your pension after you have accessed pension benefits, and still enjoy tax relief. The additional MPAA means anyone already using their pension but continuing to work, or looking to return to work, will be incentivised to do so as they can increase the size of their pension pot and receive tax relief.

 

Good for you

The changes only really impact the highest earners, those with generous company pensions and those wanting to aggressively fund their pensions later in life. The government is hoping the changes will incentivise those in certain high demand, high earning professions such as GPs and NHS consultants to postpone retirement.

 

Professional pension advice is essential to ensure you make the most suitable decisions with your pension and to maximise your pension provision without encountering tax issues.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

Summer retirement round-up – developing a coherent strategy

The last few years have created an increasingly complex backdrop for retirement planning. Not only has the post-pandemic era seen attitudes to work alter significantly, but macro-economic headwinds from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the cost-of-living crisis have created significant unhelpful market volatility. In combination, this has inevitably heightened the need for everyone to engage in retirement conversations at the earliest opportunity. Some recent research sets the backdrop for your summer retirement round-up, spotlighting key trends.

 

Changing face of retirement

A recent study4 of UK employees has shown how people are re-evaluating plans for work and later life, with evidence that partial retirement may become the new norm. In total, over half of all workers said they like the idea of continuing to work through retirement. The research also highlighted a strong sense of semi-retirement positivity, with nine out of ten saying they were ‘much happier’ after reducing their working hours.

 

Low levels of confidence

Another study5, however, has highlighted a distinct lack of confidence among 55 to 75-year-olds when it comes to financing retirement. Indeed, nearly a third said they were either not at all confident or not very confident they would enjoy a comfortable lifestyle in retirement, compared to less than one in five who felt very or extremely confident.

 

Mind the gap

The research also highlighted a sense of unpreparedness, with a notable divergence in anticipated levels of retirement income and expenditure. For instance, while average expected spending five years into retirement was predicted to be 92% of pre-retirement levels, average income was only expected to hit 78%; other evidence suggests this latter figure is an aspiration few pensioners are likely to achieve.

 

Planning is essential

These findings suggest many from the next generation of retirees will need support if their finances are to see them through retirement, and this vividly highlights the need to develop a sound strategy tailored to an individual’s unique circumstances long before retirement looms. Planning ahead can address potential income requirements and offer solutions that build resilience to ensure you enjoy the retirement you deserve.

 

4Aviva, 2023

5The Wisdom Council, 2023

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

A defining moment – FTSE 350 female board representation

Three years ahead of schedule, FTSE 350 companies have met the target of achieving 40% female board representation, according to the latest FTSE Women Leaders Review6.

 

The report highlights ‘steady progress’ in getting women leaders to the ‘top table of business in the UK,’ with Nimesh Patel and Penny James, co-chairs of the Review describing the achievement as “a defining moment and testament to the power of the voluntary approach and the collective efforts of many businesses and individuals over the last decade.”

 

6FTSE Women Leaders, 2023

 

Making purposeful financial decisions to combat inflation

 

The upsurge in inflation over the last year or so has again vividly highlighted the devastating impact sharply rising price levels can wreak on people’s finances. Carefully reviewing your financial choices now, though, can ensure you continue making appropriate decisions that will help to stop inflation leaving a lasting impression on your financial future.

A lack of understanding

Official statistics show the headline rate of inflation peaked at a 41-year high of 11.1% last October but, although economists expect it to continue falling for the rest of this year, the rate has so far remained stubbornly high. Research7, however, suggests the impact inflation has on our finances is not widely understood, with over half of UK adults failing to grasp how rising prices eat into the buying power of their savings.

 

Limiting the damage

Inheritance is another area where high inflation can have a profound effect. When combined with the continuing nil-rate threshold freeze, soaring prices inevitably mean more estates are likely to be dragged into the Inheritance Tax net. Careful planning now, though, can limit any future liability and preserve people’s ability to pass on assets to their heirs.

 

Pension pressures

Retirement provision is also a concern, with growing evidence that cost-of-living pressures are leading some to cut back contributions as a way to make ends meet, without realising the lasting damage such decisions can make. For instance, analysis8 based on various assumptions (about such factors as salary, pension contribution rates and investment growth) shows that if someone opts out of pension contributions for five years in their 20s it could reduce their final retirement pot at age 66 by £114,000.

 

Stay on plan

At times like these, it is often worth revisiting what initially inspired you to set your financial goals. Reconnecting with those original motivations can encourage you to stick to your plans and thereby help maintain control over your financial destiny.

 

Here for you

As ever, we’re here to help; so please get in touch if you need to review your finances and, together, we’ll plan to mitigate inflation’s impact on your future financial wellbeing.

 

7Aviva, 2022

8Standard Life, 2023

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) does not regulate Will writing, tax and trust advice and certain forms of estate planning.

 

 

In other news

 

National Insurance (NI) gap

If you want to boost your State Pension and plug a gap in your NI record, the government has just extended the deadline for doing so from 31 July 2023 to 5 April 2025. The government has been allowing eligible people to retrospectively build up their April 2006 to April 2016 NI record through voluntary contributions, as part of transitional arrangements introduced alongside the new State Pension. You can check your NI record here www.gov.uk/check-national-insurance-record.

 

Locked Child Trust Funds

Around 80,000 young people who lack the capacity to make financial decisions have been unable to access money in their Child Trust Fund9. Instead of being able to withdraw the money when they turned 18, families are having to pay to go through the Court of Protection, a long-winded and costly process. Ministry of Justice figures show only 15 accounts were accessed through this process in 2021.

 

Using property wealth to support grandchildren

Research10 has found that 79% of grandparents are providing financial support for their grandchildren, with one in 12 (8%) using their property wealth to do this. Grandparents aged 50 to 64 are twice as likely to use property wealth to gift to grandchildren compared with 65 to 74-year-olds, indicating that the next generation of grandparents are likely to use equity in their property for financial planning.

 

9Renaissance Legal, 2023

10L&G, 2023

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated. Think carefully before securing other debts against your home. Equity released from your home will be secured against it.

 

 

The benefits of being a new tax year front runner

 

The longer days of summer are the ideal time to think about what you want for yourself and your family in the future, to set specific financial goals and to benefit from getting plans organised early in the tax year.

Setting your goals

Considering your individual financial goals and developing a financial plan that aligns with those goals can help you to identify what is important to you, to stay disciplined and focused on your long-term objectives, avoiding short-term market fluctuations or investment fads.

 

The early bird

Investing early in the tax year can offer several benefits:

 

  • It gives your investments more time to grow tax-free or tax-deferred, benefiting from compounded returns
  • It can help you avoid a last-minute rush to make contributions before the end of the tax year, which can lead to mistakes or missed opportunities
  • There is time to spread your contributions over the year, making budgeting easier.

 

Work with us

We can work with you to identify your financial goals and set up plans so that you can get ahead early in the tax year, giving you powerful strategies for building wealth and achieving financial security.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) does not regulate Will writing, tax and trust advice and certain forms of estate planning.

 

 

Investment myths debunked

 

To many, the world of investing is shrouded in mystery; the realm of financial whizz-kids and the super-rich. In reality, however, this is not the case and, once myth is separated from reality, it should be clear that investing is actually accessible to all.

Can’t invest, won’t invest!

Research11 has highlighted several reasons why people are sometimes reluctant to invest. The main one, cited by 45% of respondents, is because they don’t have sufficient money, while 23% feel they are not knowledgeable enough about investing and 21% are worried about losing money.

 

Only for the rich?

These findings mirror a number of common misconceptions surrounding investing, one of which is that only wealthy people invest. However, while this may have been the case in the past, it is certainly not true nowadays, with investment options available for people with relatively small sums to invest.

 

Expertise and devotion required?

Other common investment myths include the idea that you have to be a stock market genius and monitor your investments on a daily basis. Both of these are untrue: advice is readily available to guide novice investors throughout their investment journey, while taking a long-term approach is always advisable.

 

Too risky by far?

While it is true that all investing involves risk, not all investments are similarly risky. So, anyone who is worried about losing money can take a more cautious approach by holding a greater proportion of less-risky assets in their portfolio.

 

Help at hand

If you’re new to investing then get in touch and we can help get you started. We’ll show you that investing is not just for the very wealthy but it does give everyone a chance to potentially secure a higher return on their hard-earned cash.

 

11HSBC, 2022

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

 

Pensions round-up

 

How up to date are you with your pension? Here are a few things to consider.

How much is in your pension pot?

According to research12, three quarters of UK adults don’t know how much is in their pension pot. This figure rises to 79% of 55 to 64-year-olds who say they can’t put a figure on the value of their pension – especially worrying as this is a crucial stage for retirement planning. The research highlighted that women (81%) are more likely than men (68%) not to know how much they have accumulated in pensions saving.

 

Consider the gender gap

Research13 has again found a widening of the gender pension gap from the age of 35. The gap between women’s and men’s contributions for 35 to 39-year-olds is 21%, up from 18% in the previous year. Other research14 has highlighted how pension inequality is exacerbated for minority women, with over half (54%) of Black women saying they don’t have any retirement savings, compared to 40% of South Asian women and 35% of White women.

 

State Pension passes £10,000, but watch the tax

There was a welcome boost to pensioners’ incomes in April. The single-tier State Pension is now £203.85 a week or £10,600.20 a year. Those in receipt of the basic State Pension now get £156.20 a week, which may be topped up further by the Additional State Pension.

 

However, the freezing of the Income Tax personal allowance since 2021-22 means that the State Pension takes up 84% of the allowance, meaning pensioners will only need to earn £1,969.80 before they start paying Income Tax.

12Standard Life

13Aviva

14Scottish Widows 2023

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

 

How does age affect your life insurance?

 

Age is a key factor in determining cost when you take out life insurance. Generally, the younger you are when you purchase a policy, the less expensive your regular premiums will be, because younger people are statistically less likely to die than older people, so the risk to the insurer is lower.

 

Assessing the risks

Insurers consider how likely it is that they will have to pay out a claim if you were to die during the term of the policy. As you age, the cost of new life insurance cover generally increases because the likelihood of death increases. This is especially true for people who have developed health issues or who engage in risky behaviours such as extreme sports or smoking.

 

For example, a 25-year-old non-smoker in good health is likely to pay significantly less for the same level and duration of cover than a 65-year-old smoker with a history of health problems. Insurers will also consider your age when determining the length of the policy term, with longer terms generally being available to younger people. Many insurance companies offer a maximum term of around 40 years, but maximum age limits can vary.

 

It’s not all about age

Your age is just one factor that will affect the cost. The insurance company will also consider your overall health, lifestyle, occupation, family medical history and the length of policy you require.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

 

Your retirement – don’t do it a disservice

 

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has warned that 90% of those currently in their 30s and 40s are saving less than they need to if they want to have a decent standard of living in retirement. Whilst the IFS researchers found that the current generation of pensioners is doing better than any before it, they also concluded that future generations are unlikely to fare as well.

 

Saving enough

IFS found that many employees are saving very little for retirement; 60% of middle-earning private sector employees who contribute to a pension are saving less than 8% of their earnings. Fewer than one-in-five self-employed workers save into a pension at all.

 

Paul Johnson, IFS Director, commented, “Despite the number of self-employed people growing considerably, many fewer of them are saving in a pension. Most private sector workers are left having to manage considerable risks – not least over how long their retirement will be – which for many will be incredibly difficult to balance well.”

 

When can I retire?

Although current rules let you take money from your pension at age 55 (57 from 2028), you may not have enough in your pension pot to make this a viable option. Discussing your options with us can give you the bigger picture and help you to be realistic with your plans – even small contributions, made regularly, can help boost your pension pot and you’ll get tax relief too.

 

So, whatever your circumstances, we can help you to plan for an enjoyable and fulfilling retirement.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

                             

 

The importance and value of financial advice today

 

There are clearly a variety of reasons why people utilise the services of a financial adviser, but among the key motivating factors is undoubtedly the peace of mind professional advice affords to clients. And, in challenging times like these, it is clearly not difficult to understand why that particular benefit is deemed so important.

Peace of mind

A recent survey15 sought to ascertain the main reasons why investors seek the expertise of a financial adviser and it found that more than half of those that use one did so for peace of mind. In contrast, just a third said they used an adviser due to their own lack of financial expertise, while less than a fifth did so because of time constraints.

 

Soft factors are important

The research also asked investors which aspects of advice they place most value on, with two-thirds saying investment returns were critical and just over four in ten attributing value to tax management efficiency. Interestingly, however, the study also found that a number of soft factors were equally, if not more, important to investors. For instance, half of respondents said they valued the ability to plan how they will attain their financial goals.

 

Support key in difficult times

The value of support provided by an adviser tends to be accentuated during challenging economic times when clients typically need greater reassurance and the confidence required to maintain a long-term outlook. During such periods, for example, advisers perform a vital role by ensuring clients

do not fall into the trap of ‘selling low’ or ‘buying high.’

 

Avoiding expensive mistakes

This latter point perhaps highlights the true value gained from using a financial adviser, which is that it helps clients avoid making costly mistakes. In essence, value therefore seems to stem less from picking the best investments and more from constantly making smart decisions across a range of issues, whether that be: tax, cost or income management, asset allocation, portfolio rebalancing, or withdrawal strategies.

 

15Hymans Robertson, 2023

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

 

 

 

 

 

It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this newsletter is based on our current understanding of taxation and can be subject to change in future. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK; please ask for details. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated. Changes in the rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the value or price of an investment in sterling terms if it is denominated in a foreign currency. Taxation depends on individual circumstances as well as tax law and HMRC practice which can change.

 

The information contained within this newsletter is for information only purposes and does not constitute financial advice. The purpose of this newsletter is to provide technical and general guidance and should not be interpreted as a personal recommendation or advice.

 

The Financial Conduct Authority does not regulate advice on deposit accounts and some forms of tax advice.

 

All details are correct at time of writing – June 2023.

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

May 2023 Economic Review

May 2023 Economic Review

Download your copy here.

UK growth forecasts upgraded

Revised projections released last month by both the Bank of England (BoE) and International Monetary Fund (IMF) suggest the UK economy is now set to avoid recession this year.

The BoE’s latest forecast predicts the economy will grow by 0.25% across the whole of 2023, a significant upgrade from February’s prediction of a 0.5% contraction. This improved outlook reflects a number of factors, including stronger than anticipated global growth, lower energy prices and the fiscal support announced by the Chancellor in his Spring Budget.

Updated IMF figures also show the UK is now unlikely to enter recession, with the international soothsayer predicting a growth rate of 0.4% for 2023; in comparison, its previous forecast had suggested the economy would contract by 0.3% over the course of this year. The IMF said growth would be helped by ‘resilient demand ‘as well as falling energy prices and praised the UK authorities for taking ‘decisive and responsible steps in recent months.’

The latest gross domestic product (GDP) figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), however, highlight how fragile the recovery remains with growth still sluggish. Although GDP across the first three months of 2023 did edge up by 0.1%, a similar tepid pace as achieved during the final quarter of last year, monthly data revealed an unexpectedly sharp drop in output during March, with GDP actually declining by 0.3% during the month.

Recently released data from the closely watched S&P Global/CIPS UK Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), though, does suggest growth has picked up in the second quarter. May’s preliminary headline reading came in at 53.9, lower than April’s one-year high of 54.9, but comfortably above the 50 threshold that denotes growth in private sector output. Indeed, S&P Global noted that their PMI readings were consistent with ‘GDP rising 0.4% in the second quarter.’

Interest rates rise again

Last month, the BoE announced another hike in its benchmark interest rate and insisted it will ‘stay the course’ in its battle to bring down inflation.

Following its latest meeting, which concluded on 10 May, the BoE’s nine-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a 7-2 majority to raise Bank Rate by a further 0.25 percentage points. This was the 12th consecutive increase, taking rates to 4.5%, their highest level in almost 15 years.

Commenting after announcing the decision, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey made it clear that the Bank’s next moves would depend on the trajectory of forthcoming data. However, Mr Bailey did stress that, “We have to stay the course to make sure inflation falls all the way back to the 2% target.”

The minutes to the meeting also warned that the Bank now believes inflation will remain higher for a longer period, largely as a result of food price inflation which is ‘likely to fall back more slowly than previously expected.’ Its latest forecast, which was published alongside the rate decision, suggests inflation will fall to 5.1% by the end of this year, significantly higher than its previous forecast of 3.9%.

ONS data published two weeks after the MPC’s announcement confirmed that the headline rate of inflation remains stubbornly high. While it did fall from 10.1% in March to 8.7% in April, as the extreme energy price hikes seen a year ago dropped out of the calculations, the figure was much higher than the consensus forecast in a Reuters poll of economists which had predicted a rate of 8.2%.

April’s inflation data surprise has undoubtedly increased the likelihood of further rate hikes in the coming months. The next decision is due to be announced on 22 June with analysts now typically expecting another 0.25 percentage point rise.

 

Markets (Data compiled by TOMD)

At the end of May, global markets closed the month largely in negative territory, with investors awaiting the outcome of the key vote on the US debt ceiling. In addition, the latest economic data from China, which highlighted a further decline in manufacturing activity, also weighed on sentiment.

In the UK, the FTSE 100 ended the month on 7,446.14, a loss of 5.39%, while the mid cap FTSE 250 closed down 3.62% on 18,722.90 and the FTSE AIM closed May on 782.77, a monthly loss of 5.68%.

In the US, the Dow Jones index closed the month down 3.49% on 32,908.27, while the NASDAQ closed the month up 5.80% on 12,935.28. On the continent, the Euro Stoxx 50 closed May on 4,218.04, a loss of 3.24%. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 closed the month up 7.04%, on 30,887.88. The index recently reached historic highs in May, with market sentiment buoyed by the potential of the semiconductor and AI markets.

On the foreign exchanges, the euro closed the month at €1.16 against sterling. The US dollar closed at $1.23 against sterling and at $1.06 against the euro.

 

Brent crude closed the month trading at around $73 a barrel, a monthly loss of 8.60%. At month end, traders awaited news on progress of the US debt bill, digested the weak Chinese manufacturing data, and considered how the weakening growth could impact crude demand. Gold closed the month trading at $1,964.40 a troy ounce, a small monthly loss of 0.92%.

Index                                                  Value (31/05/23)                           Movement since 28/04/23

 

FTSE 100                                            7,446.14                                                           -5.39%                               

FTSE 250                                           18,722.90                                                         -3.62%                               

FTSE AIM                                          782.77                                                               -5.68%

Euro Stoxx 50                                  4,218.04                                                           -3.24%                               

NASDAQ Composite                      12,935.28                                                         +5.80%                               

Dow Jones                                        32,908.27                                                         -3.49% 

Nikkei 225                                        30,887.88                                                         +7.04%                                                                                           

 

More optimistic outlook for retailers

Official retail sales statistics showed a slightly stronger-than-expected increase in sales volumes during April while survey evidence points to modestly rising levels of optimism within the retail sector.

The latest ONS retail sales figures revealed signs of consumer spending resilience, with volumes rising by 0.5% in April following March’s sharp decline when sales were hit by unusually wet weather. Furthermore, across the whole of the February-to-April period, sales volumes grew by 0.8% compared to the previous three months; this represents the largest increase recorded on this measure since August 2021.

Evidence from the recently released CBI Distributive Trades Survey suggests the trading environment does remain challenging with sales volumes dipping in the year to May. Sales are expected to stabilise in June, however, and retailers generally expect to see a modest improvement in their business situation over the coming three months.

Commenting on the survey findings, CBI Principal Economist Martin Sartorius said, “Looking ahead, there are some reasons for retailers to be more optimistic about the outlook. Consumer sentiment has been improving and households’ energy bills are set to decline from July. The resulting boost to incomes should help support retail sales going into the second half of this year.”

Unemployment rate edges higher

The latest batch of labour market statistics suggests a further softening in the jobs market with a rise in the rate of unemployment and another fall in the number of job vacancies.

ONS figures released last month showed that the unemployment rate during Q1 edged up to 3.9%, a 0.1 percentage point increase from the previous three months. This was higher than the median forecast in a Reuters poll of economists which had predicted the rate would hold steady at 3.8%.

In addition, the estimated total number of job vacancies fell by 55,000 during the three months to April, hitting its lowest level since mid-2021. This was the tenth consecutive decline, with ONS saying that companies continued to cite ‘economic pressures’ as a factor in holding back on recruitment.

The labour market update also reported the number of people not working due to long-term sickness at a new record high. Over two and a half million people are now not working due to health issues, with ONS saying the increase has been driven by a rise in mental health conditions among younger age groups, people suffering with back and neck pain, and a rise in post-viral fatigue.

It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this document is based on our current understanding and can be subject to change without notice and the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without prior permission.

 All details are correct at the time of writing (01 June 2023).

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

Recent signs of economic resilience

Recent signs of economic resilience

You can download your copy here 

While the latest gross domestic product (GDP) statistics revealed that the UK economy stagnated in February, recent survey evidence paints a more positive picture with signs of ‘encouraging resilience’ and ‘growth momentum.’

 Official data released last month by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the economy saw no growth during February. ONS said that a strong rise in construction activity had been offset by a contraction in the services sector which was hit by a series of strikes by public sector workers, including teachers and civil servants.

 Despite February’s flat performance, an upward revision to January’s growth figure from 0.3% to 0.4%, means that the UK is now likely to avoid a contraction across the first quarter of this year as a whole. Indeed, in the three months to February, the economy actually expanded by 0.1%.

 Responding to the GDP data, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said that the numbers showed there is “absolutely no room for complacency.” However, he did note that the economic outlook was “brighter than expected” and said that the UK does now seem “set to avoid recession.”

 Survey data released towards the end of last month added to signs that the UK may now defy forecasts of an impending recession. The preliminary headline figure from the S&P Global/CIPS UK Purchasing Managers’ Index, for instance, rose from 52.2 in March to 53.9 in April. This represents the strongest reading for a year and was the third consecutive month that the figure had been above the 50 threshold that denotes growth in private sector output.

Commenting on the survey’s findings, S&P Global Market Intelligence’s Chief Business Economist Chris Williamson said, “The key takeaway is that the economy as a whole is not only showing encouraging resilience but has gained growth momentum heading into the second quarter.”

 

 

Inflation remains stubbornly high

 The latest official consumer prices data showed that the UK headline rate of inflation remains in double digits, making it more likely that the Bank of England (BoE) will sanction another base rate hike at its forthcoming monetary policy meeting.

Data released last month by ONS revealed that the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate – which compares prices in the current month with the same period a year earlier – stood at 10.1% in March. Although this was lower than the previous month’s figure of 10.4%, it was well above the 9.8% predicted in a Reuters poll of economists and the 9.2% forecast that had been released by the BoE in February.

ONS said the largest downward pressure on March’s rate came from the transport sector as the price of motor fuels continued to decline. Further sharp rises in the cost of food, however, saw the CPI rate remain at a stubbornly high level, with prices across the food and non-alcoholic drinks category rising by 19% in the year to March, the fastest rate of increase for over 45 years.

March’s inflation statistics were the last significant data release before the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) next convenes and policymakers would have been disappointed not to have seen a more significant drop in inflationary pressures. The MPC is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on 11 May with analysts now typically expecting another quarter percentage-point rise.

Recent comments made by BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden appeared to confirm his desire to raise rates. Writing in The Times, the MPC member said, “When I look at where inflation is and where it needs to get to, I’m more focused on making sure that (we) stay the course in terms of the monetary policy decisions needed to get inflation back to target.”

 

Markets (Data compiled by TOMD)

At the end of April, global markets closed largely in positive territory. Although inflation remains a concern, stock markets closed higher as investors considered fresh economic data and a raft of corporate earnings.

 In the UK, the FTSE 100 ended the month on firmer ground, supported by gains in energy stocks. The blue chip index closed the month on 7,870.57, a gain of 3.13%, while the mid cap FTSE 250 closed up 2.62% on 19,425.14, and the FTSE AIM closed April on 829.94, a monthly gain of 2.55%.

 Despite weak economic growth in Q1, some positive earnings landed stateside, boosted by some strong results from banks and tech firms. In the US, the Dow Jones index closed the month up 2.48% on 34,098.16, while the NASDAQ closed the month up 0.04% on 12,226.58.

On the continent, the Euro Stoxx 50 closed April on 4,359.31, a gain of 1.03%. In Japan, markets traded higher after the Bank of Japan retained its monetary policy. The Nikkei 225 closed the month up 2.91%, on 28,856.44.          

              

On the foreign exchanges, the euro closed the month at €1.14 against sterling. The US dollar closed at $1.25 against sterling and at $1.10 against the euro.

Gold closed the month trading at $1,982.55 a troy ounce, a small monthly gain of 0.19%. The price of gold fell at month end as stronger-than-expected inflation in the US and jobs data weighed, raising expectations of further rate hikes. Brent crude closed the month trading at around $80 a barrel, a small monthly gain of 0.38%.

  

Index                                                  Value (28/04/23)                           Movement since 31/03/23

 

FTSE 100                                            7,870.57                                                           3.13%                                 

FTSE 250                                           19,425.14                                                         2.62%                                 

FTSE AIM                                          829.94                                                               2.55%

Euro Stoxx 50                                  4,359.31                                                           1.03%                                 

NASDAQ Composite                      12,226.58                                                         0.04%                                 

Dow Jones                                        34,098.16                                                         2.48%   

Nikkei 225                                        28,856.44                                                         2.91%                                                                                             

 

Rain dampens retail sales figures

Official data shows that sales volumes fell by a greater-than-expected amount in March with retailers blaming poor weather conditions for a reduction in shopper numbers.

The latest ONS statistics revealed that total retail sales volumes fell by 0.9% in March compared to the previous month’s figure. This decline was driven by the sixth-wettest March on record, which hit clothing retailers and garden centres, while food store sales also fell as consumers continued to be hit by soaring prices and shortages of some products.

ONS Director of Economic Statistics Darren Morgan, however, noted that the broader trend was less subdued than March’s figures alone suggest. Mr Morgan said, “A strong performance from retailers in January and February means the three-month picture shows positive growth for the first time since August 2021.”

Data from GfK’s latest Consumer Confidence Index also points to rising consumer optimism. The headline index increased for the third month in a row to reach -30 in April; this was six percentage points higher than March and the strongest reading since February last year. Consumers’ expectations for the economy and prospects for their personal finances both rose, along with shoppers’ willingness to make expensive purchases.

Further fall in job vacancies

The latest batch of employment statistics revealed a rise in the rate of unemployment and a fall in the number of job vacancies reflecting softer conditions in the labour market.

During the December to February period, the unemployment rate edged up to 3.8%, from 3.7% in the previous three months, to reach its highest level since the second quarter of 2022.

The labour market update also revealed that the total number of job vacancies fell for the ninth month in a row, falling by 47,000 in the January to March period. ONS said that companies had blamed ‘economic pressures’ as a factor for holding back on hiring new staff, although the statistics agency also noted that vacancy numbers still remain at a historically high level.

There was, however, a rise in the number of people looking for work principally driven by more young people leaving full-time education to find a job. In the three months to February, the employment rate edged up to 75.8%, 0.2 percentage points higher than in the previous three-month period, reflecting growth in the number of part-time employees and self-employed workers.Economic Review

It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this document is based on our current understanding and can be subject to change without notice and the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without prior permission.

 

All details are correct at the time of writing (02 May 2023)

 

 

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

Three big pension questions you should ask your financial adviser

Three big pension questions you should ask your financial adviser

The dust has settled on the Spring Budget Statement, which came with the headlines of growth. In the statement the Chancellor announced a number of changes to pensions, many of which have significant impact on higher earners and tax payers.

If you haven’t found time to sit down with your financial adviser and discuss the implications of these changes for your pension, we think there are three big questions to ask.

 

Can I put more into my pension?

 

The short answer is yes. The pension annual allowance is the total amount you can save into your pension plans each year before you have to pay an additional tax charge. This allowance has been increased to £60,000 (up from £40,000) from April 2023.

In addition. the Government announced that it will abolish the lifetime allowance. As a result, from 6 April 2023 the lifetime allowance (LTA) charge would be removed. You can find the detailed proposed legislation for these changes in the Finance Bill. The lifetime allowance will be fully abolished from the 2024 to 2025 tax year, through a future Finance Bill. This means that from 6 April 2023 the current lifetime allowance framework remains in place and the lifetime allowance for 2023 to 2024 remains at £1,073,100.  So now you can make pension contributions up to 100% of your yearly earnings or up to the annual allowance of £60,000, whichever is lower.

 

Can I reduce my tax by paying more into a pension?

 

Again, the short answer is yes, but the exact amounts very much depend on what you are earning.

If you’re a higher earner then you might have been impacted by an allowance known as the tapered annual allowance.  From April 2023, the adjusted income level will increase from £240,000 to £260,000 and the minimum annual allowance that you can be tapered to will increase from £4,000 to £10,000.

The tapered allowance means that for every £2 your adjusted income goes over £260,000, your annual allowance for the current tax year reduces by £1 down to a minimum of £10,000.

Remember also if you earn above £100,000 you start to lose your personal allowance, and so a pension contribution could give you this back.

 

How can I use my pension to reduce my inheritance tax liability for my family?

 

When you die, any unspent money in your private pension pot can be passed on to one or more beneficiaries of your choice. Pension pots are not subject to inheritance tax when you die. If you die before the age of 75, the person(s) who inherit your pension pot can draw on the money as they wish, without paying any income tax either.

So in simple terms, if you can invest more into your pension pot, you will be ensuring your family inherit more of your wealth.

 

Inevitably we have simplified much of the complex arrangements around pensions here, and the best way to work out how to maximise your pension arrangements is to speak to an independent adviser about your own situation. Do get in touch if you earn over £100,000 and would like some advice on your pension arrangements.

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
Call us on 01332913006

 

Your Window on Wealth: Investor Confidence Returns – Spring 2023

Your Window on Wealth: Investor Confidence Returns – Spring 2023

You can download this update here

A recent survey1 suggests investors are becoming more confident despite ongoing challenges on the economic front. While this is certainly encouraging, maintaining a long-term outlook and retaining a strong sense of discipline in investment positioning remains a prerequisite for any successful investor.Page

An air of optimism

It’s fair to say 2022 was a turbulent year for global markets with the war in Ukraine, soaring inflation and rising interest rates weighing heavily on a difficult 12-month period. Towards the end of the year, however, markets did stage a cautious recovery despite ongoing fears of a looming recession.

Inflation expected to fall

The final quarter of last year also witnessed a rebound in investor sentiment, with the same survey reporting a seven-percentage point rise in confidence in the global economy, although this was before the recent woes in the banking sector. This optimism was driven by hopes that inflation has now peaked and is set to continue falling in the months ahead; a view reflected in the International Monetary Fund’s latest economic musings2 which predict global inflation will drop from 8.8% in 2022 to 6.6% this year and 4.3% in 2024.

Young guns

Data from the survey also revealed a majority of investors were either positive or ambivalent about last year’s market volatility and its impact on their investing mindset. This was particularly true for younger investors with three-quarters of 18 to 34-year-olds either positive or indifferent compared to six in ten over-55s. This variation will partly reflect differing retirement time horizons, with younger investors more able to adopt a longer-term view.

Investor discipline is key

This is clearly encouraging as maintaining a long-term philosophy based on prudent risk management principles and avoiding panicked decisions has always been a key element for successful investing, maintaining discipline in investment positioning. In practice, this means achieving an appropriate level of diversification and understanding how to blend investments – that’s what we do.

1eToro, 2023

2IMF, 2023

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily  be repeated.

Taking steps to offset fiscal drag

The gradual reduction of disposable income due to inflation and changes in tax brackets, or frozen tax allowances, will weigh on your finances, causing ‘fiscal drag.’

By implementing various strategies, you can potentially reduce the impact of fiscal drag on your investments and increase your chances of achieving your long-term financial goals.

The worst thing to do is – nothing. By succumbing to inertia, you are more likely to pay increased levels of tax, whether in relation to Income Tax due to the frozen personal allowances and reduced Dividend Allowance, or other taxes including Capital Gains Tax (CGT) and Inheritance Tax (IHT).

The good news – there are legitimate mitigation strategies and, depending on your personal circumstances, allowances and tax reliefs available. By using your Individual Savings Account (ISA) allowance or making your pension contributions early in a new tax year, you could benefit from extra potential growth, as well as receiving an element of your tax relief earlier on your pension and any pension contributions. Consider tax-efficient investments, diversify your portfolio and rebalance regularly to ensure your asset allocation remains aligned with your objectives and attitude to risk; rebalancing will help minimise the impact of fiscal drag over time.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily  be repeated. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) does not regulate Will writing, tax and trust advice and certain forms of estate planning.

 

Spring Budget 2023 – key points

 

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt delivered the Spring Budget on 15 March declaring it to be “A Budget for Growth.” The fiscal update included a range of new measures, starting with the latest economic projections from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR):

  • The UK economy is expected to contract by 0.2% this year, with growth predicted to hit 1.8% in 2024 and 2.5% in 2025. A technical recession is expected to be avoided in 2023
  • Inflation is predicted to fall from an average rate of 10.7% in Q4 2022 to 2.9% by the end of this year. This decline is partly due to the three-month extension to the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG), which the government confirmed on 15 March.

The Chancellor’s strategy for growth focuses on four pillars ‘Everywhere, Enterprise, Employment and Education.’ Key areas within these pillars include:

  • Investment for ‘Levelling-Up’ initiatives
  • Providing the right conditions for businesses to succeed
  • New measures to get people back to work, including childcare support.

Pensions

The spotlight also fell on pensions. To encourage over-50s to extend their working lives, the government is increasing tax relief limits on pension contributions and pots:

  • The Annual Allowance will be raised from £40,000 to £60,000 from April 2023; the Lifetime Allowance (LTA) charge will be removed from April 2023, and the LTA will be abolished from April 2024
  • The maximum amount that can be accessed tax free (Pension Commencement Lump Sum) will be frozen at its current level of £268,275 (25% of current LTA)
  • From April, the minimum Tapered Annual Allowance (TAA) and the Money Purchase Annual Allowance (MPAA) will increase from £4,000 to £10,000. The adjusted income threshold for the TAA will also rise, from £240,000 to £260,000.

In addition, previously announced State Pension increases from April 2023 are as follows:

  • Basic State Pension – increase to £156.20 per week
  • Full new State Pension – increase to £203.85 per week.

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily  be repeated.

In the news

 

Land driving surge in UK’s net worth

Recent data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS)3 shows that the UK’s net worth rose by £1trn in 2021, to total £11.8trn, the largest annual increase on record (9.2%). This rise can be attributed to the increasing value of land, accounting for over 60% of net worth. Aligned with this, the data shows that households’ net worth grew to £12.3trn in 2021, 7.6% up on the previous year, representing the strongest growth since 2016. ‘Land continues to be the largest asset driving more than half of the sector’s growth,’ according to ONS.

Crypto clampdown

The UK government has unveiled plans to ‘robustly regulate’ cryptocurrency market activities like trading and lending by bringing the regulation of crypto assets closer to that of traditional finance. The Treasury confirmed, ‘We remain steadfast in our commitment to grow the economy and enable technological change and innovation – and this includes crypto asset technology. But we must also protect consumers who are embracing this new technology – ensuring robust, transparent, and fair standards.’

A consultation has been launched which runs until 30 April 2023; once legislation is made, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) will consult on its detailed rules for the sector.

3ONS, 2023

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily  be repeated.

 

Transferring wealth, your way

 

With the coming years set to see record flows of assets pass down the generations, the thorny issue of wealth transfer has inevitably become an increasingly important financial topic. Seeking professional advice is a crucial step that can ease any inheritance planning anxieties and facilitate the transfer of assets in the way that you want.

‘Great wealth transfer’

The next three decades are set to witness the largest ever intergenerational transfer of wealth as baby boomers pass on assets to their heirs. Analysts have dubbed it the ‘great wealth transfer,’ with trillions set to cascade down the generations.

Intergenerational mismatch

A new survey4, however, highlights baby boomer concerns about how their money may ultimately be spent. According to the research, a third of baby boomers are reluctant to pass wealth to someone whose attitude to money differs from their own; additionally, Gen Z were found to be much more likely to adopt a short-term financial outlook than their forebears. Researchers fear this disparity in attitudes could therefore impact older generations’ wealth transfer decisions.

Bridging the divide

While such differences could create intergenerational conflict, we can help alleviate any issues by building cross-generational connections and ensuring any asset transfer is conducted in a way that meets your specific needs. Developing relationships with your beneficiaries to ensure younger generations will receive financial decision-making support can create invaluable peace of mind for both you and your heirs.

Inheritance options

A range of options are available for people looking to transfer wealth, with lifetime gifting amongst the popular methods of passing on money. Complexities with Inheritance Tax and rules in establishing trusts, though, mean sound advice is critical in order to adopt the most efficient approach.

Here to support you

All the evidence suggests developing strong relationships is key to the success of intergenerational financial planning. So get in touch and, with our support, you and your family can work towards determining and achieving your inheritance planning objectives.

4abrdn, 2023

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

Are you a wealth accumulator?

 

Having your finances in order brings tremendous peace of mind. Financial wellbeing varies from person to person but fundamentally encompasses having security around money, now and in the future, plus knowing what makes us happy, and having money goals in place to achieve this happiness5.

The combination of money and mindset is crucial, findings show that even if an individual feels confident about their money ‘building blocks’ (income, long-term savings, safety net, debt awareness, assets), they won’t achieve optimal levels of financial wellbeing without a well-considered and focused mindset too; think ‘happiness, future self, written plans, long-term perspective’.

Aegon’s Wellbeing Index also shows that being a high earner doesn’t necessarily equate to being a long-term saver. If a saver has a connection to their future self and understands what gives them joy and purpose, they find long-term perspective. Being one of the highest earners doesn’t necessarily mean that they have long-term perspective. ‘The wealth accumulator’ persona for example has a high level of wealth now and probably in the future, but when it comes to creating a healthy financial mindset, they might not have spent the time thinking, ‘what’s it all for?’ and truly connecting with the mindset element of financial wellbeing.

5Aegon, 2022

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

A pension – the best (retirement) gift for your child?

 

With the cost of children’s birthday presents and parties often totalling hundreds of pounds – could there be a better way to provide for your child or grandchild?

 

Investing in a pension for your child can provide numerous long-term benefits and go some way to helping them secure a financially stable future. Setting up a pension for your child can also help teach them about the importance of saving and investing for the future.

Who can set up a child’s pension?

A parent or legal guardian can set up the pension; this can be done as soon as the child is born.

Who can contribute?

If you’re a grandparent keen to help out, the good news is that anyone can contribute into the pension, as well as godparents, relatives or friends. As a parent, you manage the pension saving plan until the child turns 18.

What happens when they turn 18?

Whilst they gain control at 18, they won’t be able to access the money until they reach the normal minimum pension age.

How much can you contribute?

Under current rules you can pay up to £2,880 into a children’s pension each year. This will then receive basic rate tax relief, so the government will boost this to £3,600. The majority of people setting up a children’s pension won’t pay this much in, instead choosing to make smaller contributions, which will still build up over time and benefit from tax relief.

Why choose a children’s pension?

It may seem odd thinking about a pension for your child when they are so young, but not only will it help your child later on in life when they think about retirement, but also help with the amount they might contribute into their pension during their lifetime, potentially freeing up more money to fund other life events.

What about a Junior ISA (JISA)?

Another worthwhile tax-efficient children’s saving option is a JISA. One key difference between children’s pensions and JISAs is that with the latter, your child can access the money when they turn 18. With any pension, the money can only be used to save for retirement.

The early bird

Investing in a pension plan for your child can provide them with the financial security they need to achieve their goals in the future. By starting early, they can benefit from compound interest and reinvested dividends, tax benefits, and the potential to grow their savings over time.

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.

Taxman on the trail of unpaid IHT

 

HMRC has set up a new specialist team to target estates of wealthy deceased individuals in order to check whether a greater Inheritance Tax (IHT) liability may have been due than originally calculated by estate executors. This clampdown has seen record amounts of unpaid tax being clawed back by HMRC with levels expected to rise further in the coming years.

 

Record sums recovered

Data obtained through a Freedom of Information request has revealed that a total of £326m was collected by HMRC as a result of targeted IHT investigations in the year to March 2022. This was the largest amount ever recovered and represents a 28% increase on the amount raised by investigators in the previous 12-month period.

 

Threshold freeze

The standard IHT rate is currently 40%, paid on the value of any estate above £325,000; in addition, homeowners benefit from an extra £175,000 allowance if they pass on their primary residence to a child or grandchild. These thresholds, however, have been frozen until 2028, which inevitably means more people are likely to be dragged into the IHT net. In 2021-22, families collectively paid £6.1bn in death duties, up from £5.4bn the previous year, and monthly data up to December suggests the figure for 2022-23 will be even higher.

 

Complex rules

More than 13,000 individuals have been embroiled in IHT investigations since 2019. While some of these bereaved families may have acted deliberately, others are likely to have made innocent mistakes and simply fallen foul of IHT rule complexities. Two areas where mistakes commonly occur relate to the provision of lifetime gifts and the valuation of personal possessions.

 

We’re here to help

If you have any concerns or need advice on any aspect relating to IHT then do get in touch; we’re always happy to help.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) does not regulate Will writing, tax and trust advice and certain forms of estate planning.

 

If you would like any advice or information on any of the areas highlighted in this newsletter, please get in touch.

 

It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this newsletter is based on our current understanding of taxation and can be subject to change in future. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK; please ask for details.

 

We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor.

 

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you  invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated. Changes in the rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the value or price of an investment in sterling terms if it is denominated in a foreign currency. Taxation depends on individual circumstances as well as tax law and HMRC practice which can change.

 

The information contained within this newsletter is for information only purposes and does not constitute financial advice. The purpose of this newsletter is to provide technical and general guidance and should not be interpreted as a personal recommendation or advice.

 

The Financial Conduct Authority does not regulate advice on deposit accounts and some forms of tax advice.

 

All details are correct at time of writing – March 2023.

 

Financial health is financial wealth.

If you want to be financially healthy, please book an initial meeting and let’s discover if we can help you
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